Wake Forest
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
360  Meredith Smith SO 20:41
361  Ellie Abrahamson SR 20:41
374  Samantha Halvorsen FR 20:42
392  Catherine Allen JR 20:44
922  Jenna Truedson SO 21:27
940  Kathryn Lazarchick SR 21:28
1,014  Isabelle Harouche SO 21:32
1,358  Kathryn Kenwood FR 21:54
1,417  Sarah Fahmy SR 21:57
1,446  Beatrice Boylan SO 21:59
National Rank #82 of 344
Southeast Region Rank #12 of 50
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 2.4%
Most Likely Finish 10th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 19.7%
Top 10 in Regional 77.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Meredith Smith Ellie Abrahamson Samantha Halvorsen Catherine Allen Jenna Truedson Kathryn Lazarchick Isabelle Harouche Kathryn Kenwood Sarah Fahmy Beatrice Boylan
adidas Challenge 09/16 1105 21:01 21:22 21:15 20:39 21:56
Royals Challenge 10/07 1236 21:17 21:39 22:12 22:08
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (White) 10/15 939 20:33 20:39 20:39 20:49 21:32 22:15 21:25
ACC Championships 10/28 935 20:27 20:55 20:41 20:38 21:34 21:22 21:28 21:44 21:55 22:01
Southeast Region Champioinships 11/11 781 20:16 20:22 20:28 20:34 21:17 21:22 21:08





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 2.4% 30.0 727 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2
Region Championship 100% 8.2 259 2.4 3.4 6.7 7.3 10.1 11.7 12.1 11.9 12.6 9.8 5.6 3.7 1.6 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Meredith Smith 2.5% 161.3
Ellie Abrahamson 2.4% 172.0
Samantha Halvorsen 2.4% 164.0
Catherine Allen 2.4% 178.0
Jenna Truedson 2.4% 235.5
Kathryn Lazarchick 2.4% 241.3
Isabelle Harouche 2.4% 243.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Meredith Smith 39.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.7
Ellie Abrahamson 39.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.4 1.3 1.4
Samantha Halvorsen 40.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 2.0
Catherine Allen 42.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.1
Jenna Truedson 101.6
Kathryn Lazarchick 102.9
Isabelle Harouche 110.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2.4% 100.0% 2.4 2.4 2
3 3.4% 3.4 3
4 6.7% 6.7 4
5 7.3% 7.3 5
6 10.1% 10.1 6
7 11.7% 11.7 7
8 12.1% 12.1 8
9 11.9% 11.9 9
10 12.6% 12.6 10
11 9.8% 9.8 11
12 5.6% 5.6 12
13 3.7% 3.7 13
14 1.6% 1.6 14
15 0.7% 0.7 15
16 0.5% 0.5 16
17 0.3% 0.3 17
18 0.1% 0.1 18
19 0.1% 0.1 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
50 50
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4 97.6 2.4 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Virginia 24.8% 1.0 0.2
Duke 3.2% 1.0 0.0
Florida State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.3
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0